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WAL Уэльс - Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Карнарвон vs Пенибонт

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score2–1КарнарвонПенибонт
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 26% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Двойной шанс1273.9%1.35
Больше 55% · Меньше 45%Goals 2.5Больше55%1.82
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.90 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapКарнарвон winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Карнарвон win47%2.131.9146.7%+0.3 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Пенибонт win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Карнарвон1.74

Хозяева share of expected goals 60%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 55% · Меньше 45%

Пенибонт1.16

Гости share of expected goals 40%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Карнарвон

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Пенибонт

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.74
Expected goals
1.16
КарнарвонПенибонт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Карнарвон signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пенибонт signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Карнарвон vs Пенибонт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Карнарвон выигрыш 47%,Ничья 26%,Пенибонт выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · ТБ 2.5 55% · Current selection Больше