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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 3 ·

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy60%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości17%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Olancho FCJuticalpa
Expected goals3.06Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
60% / 24% / 17%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juticalpa win (16.6%)Podwójna szansa1X83.4%1.20
Powyżej 59% · Poniżej 41%Goals 2.5Powyżej59%1.69
Tak 49% · Nie 51%Obie drużyny strzeląNie51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Olancho FC win60%1.67
Remis24%4.17
Juticalpa win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Olancho FC2.28

Gospodarze share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 59% · Poniżej 41%

Juticalpa0.78

Goście share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 49% · Nie 51%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Olancho FC

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Juticalpa

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
Olancho FCJuticalpa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Olancho FC signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juticalpa signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Olancho FC wygrana 60%,Remis 24%,Juticalpa wygrana 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Powyżej 2.5 59% · Current selection Powyżej