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HND ホンジュラス ナショナルリーグ · Round 3 ·

オランチョFC vs フティカルパ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利60%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利17%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利60% selection probability
Projected score2–1オランチョFCフティカルパ
Expected goals3.06始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
60% / 24% / 17%試合結果ホーム勝利60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes フティカルパ win (16.6%)ダブルチャンス1X83.4%1.20
オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%Goals 2.5オーバー59%1.69
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
3.06 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.5 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
オランチョFC win60%1.67
引き分け24%4.17
フティカルパ win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

オランチョFC2.28

ホーム share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 59% · アンダー 41%

フティカルパ0.78

アウェイ share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

オランチョFC

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フティカルパ

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
勝ち probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
オランチョFCフティカルパ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01オランチョFC signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フティカルパ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

オランチョFC vs フティカルパ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

オランチョFC 勝ち 60%,引き分け 24%,フティカルパ 勝ち 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · オーバー 2.5 59% · Current selection オーバー