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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Round 3 ·

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır60%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır17%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Olancho FCJuticalpa
Expected goals3.06Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst59% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
60% / 24% / 17%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juticalpa win (16.6%)Çifte Şans1X83.4%1.20
Üst 59% · Alt 41%Goals 2.5Üst59%1.69
Evet 49% · Hayır 51%Karşılıklı gol varHayır51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.5 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Olancho FC win60%1.67
Beraberlik24%4.17
Juticalpa win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Olancho FC2.28

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 59% · Alt 41%

Juticalpa0.78

Deplasman share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 49% · Hayır 51%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Olancho FC

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Juticalpa

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
Olancho FCJuticalpa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Olancho FC signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juticalpa signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Olancho FC kazanç 60%,Beraberlik 24%,Juticalpa kazanç 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · 2.5 Üst 59% · Current selection Üst