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HND Хондурас - Лига Насионал · Round 3 ·

ФК Оланчо vs Хутикалпа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен24%
Победа за госта17%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК ОланчоХутикалпа
Expected goals3.06Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над59% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 24% / 17%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Хутикалпа win (16.6%)Двоен шанс1X83.4%1.20
Над 59% · Под 41%Goals 2.5Над59%1.69
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.5 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
ФК Оланчо win60%1.67
Равен24%4.17
Хутикалпа win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Оланчо2.28

Домакин share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 59% · Под 41%

Хутикалпа0.78

Гост share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Оланчо

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Хутикалпа

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
ФК ОланчоХутикалпа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Оланчо signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хутикалпа signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

ФК Оланчо vs Хутикалпа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Оланчо печеливш 60%,Равен 24%,Хутикалпа печеливш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Над 2.5 59% · Current selection Над