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HND Ονδούρες - Λίγκα Νασιονάλ · Round 3 ·

Ολάντσο vs Τζουτικάλπα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου60%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου17%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου60% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΟλάντσοΤζουτικάλπα
Expected goals3.06Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω59% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
60% / 24% / 17%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τζουτικάλπα win (16.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X83.4%1.20
Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%Goals 2.5Άνω59%1.69
Ναι 49% · Όχι 51%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ολάντσο win60%1.67
Ισοπαλία24%4.17
Τζουτικάλπα win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ολάντσο2.28

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%

Τζουτικάλπα0.78

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 49% · Όχι 51%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ολάντσο

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τζουτικάλπα

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
ΟλάντσοΤζουτικάλπα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ολάντσο signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τζουτικάλπα signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ολάντσο vs Τζουτικάλπα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ολάντσο νίκη 60%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Τζουτικάλπα νίκη 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Άνω 2.5 59% · Current selection Άνω