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HND Ονδούρες - Λίγκα Νασιονάλ · Αγώνας ·

CD Ολίμπια vs Μοτάγκουα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD ΟλίμπιαΜοτάγκουα
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 29% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.9%1.41
Άνω 49% · Κάτω 51%Goals 2.5Κάτω51%1.96
Ναι 54% · Όχι 46%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54%1.85
2.64 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
CD Ολίμπια win40%2.50
Ισοπαλία29%3.45
Μοτάγκουα win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Ολίμπια1.48

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 49% · Κάτω 51%

Μοτάγκουα1.16

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 54% · Όχι 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

CD Ολίμπια

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μοτάγκουα

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.48
Expected goals
1.16
CD ΟλίμπιαΜοτάγκουα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Ολίμπια signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μοτάγκουα signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Ολίμπια vs Μοτάγκουα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Ολίμπια νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Μοτάγκουα νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Άνω 2.5 49% · Current selection Κάτω