Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 29% / 31%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Double chance1271%1.41
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CD Olimpia win40%2.50
Draw29%3.45
Motagua win31%3.23
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.1%
Total expected goals2.64Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%
Away share of expected goals 43.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCD Olimpia
WWLWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchMotagua
LWDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
31%9
Points from supplied form
81.48
Expected goals
1.16CD OlimpiaMotagua
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
CD Olimpia vs Motagua FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Olimpia win 40%，Draw 29%，Motagua win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under。