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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Final ·

Genesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win46%
Draw27%
Away win26%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Genesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 27% / 26%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (26.5%)Double chance1X73.5%1.36
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapGenesis de Comayagua winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genesis de Comayagua win46%2.171.9047.2%-1.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
CD Platense win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genesis de Comayagua1.35

Home share of expected goals 49.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

CD Platense1.38

Away share of expected goals 50.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Genesis de Comayagua

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Platense

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
1.38
Genesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genesis de Comayagua signalAway failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Platense signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Genesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genesis de Comayagua win 46%,Draw 27%,CD Platense win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over