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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Final ·

Génesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–0Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Génesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 27% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (26.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.5%1.36
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapGénesis de Comayagua winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Génesis de Comayagua win46%2.171.9047.2%-1.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
CD Platense win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Génesis de Comayagua1.35

Local share of expected goals 49.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

CD Platense1.38

Visitante share of expected goals 50.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Génesis de Comayagua

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CD Platense

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
1.38
Génesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Génesis de Comayagua signalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Platense signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Génesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Génesis de Comayagua ganada 46%,Empate 27%,CD Platense ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de