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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Final ·

Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella Roja

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–2Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante32%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 42% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lobos UPNFMEstrella Roja
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 25% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doble Oportunidad1274.5%1.34
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Lobos UPNFM win42%2.38
Empate25%4.00
Estrella Roja win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lobos UPNFM1.47

Local share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Estrella Roja1.25

Visitante share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Lobos UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Estrella Roja

1.50pts / match
Jugados2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Puntos3

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.47
Expected goals
1.25
Lobos UPNFMEstrella Roja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lobos UPNFM signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrella Roja signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella Roja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lobos UPNFM ganada 42%,Empate 25%,Estrella Roja ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de