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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Final ·

Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella Roja

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–2Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier32%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 42% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lobos UPNFMEstrella Roja
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 25% / 32%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dobbel sjanse1274.5%1.34
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nei 45%Begge lag scorerJa55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Lobos UPNFM win42%2.38
Uavgjort25%4.00
Estrella Roja win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lobos UPNFM1.47

Hjemme share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Estrella Roja1.25

Borte share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nei 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lobos UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Estrella Roja

1.50pts / match
Spilt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Poeng3

SignalNei recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
32%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.47
Expected goals
1.25
Lobos UPNFMEstrella Roja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lobos UPNFM signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrella Roja signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella Roja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lobos UPNFM vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 25%,Estrella Roja vunnet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over