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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Final ·

Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella Roja

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score2–2Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır42%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır32%
Baseline forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier C · 42% selection probability
Prediction Kaybetti
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lobos UPNFMEstrella Roja
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst51% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
42% / 25% / 32%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Çifte Şans1274.5%1.34
Üst 51% · Alt 49%Goals 2.5Üst51%1.96
Evet 55% · Hayır 45%Karşılıklı gol varEvet55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Lobos UPNFM win42%2.38
Beraberlik25%4.00
Estrella Roja win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lobos UPNFM1.47

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 51% · Alt 49%

Estrella Roja1.25

Deplasman share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 55% · Hayır 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Lobos UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Estrella Roja

1.50pts / match
Oynanan2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Puan3

SignalHayır recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
32%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.47
Expected goals
1.25
Lobos UPNFMEstrella Roja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lobos UPNFM signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrella Roja signalHayır recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella Roja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lobos UPNFM kazanç 42%,Beraberlik 25%,Estrella Roja kazanç 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · 2.5 Üst 51% · Current selection Üst