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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Final ·

Real España vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante32%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 43% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Real EspañaCA Independiente Siguatepeque
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 25% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doble Oportunidad1274.5%1.34
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.73 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Real España win43%2.33
Empate25%4.00
CA Independiente Siguatepeque win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real España1.48

Local share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

CA Independiente Siguatepeque1.25

Visitante share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Real España

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CA Independiente Siguatepeque

1.50pts / match
Jugados2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.48
Expected goals
1.25
Real EspañaCA Independiente Siguatepeque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real España signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CA Independiente Siguatepeque signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Real España vs CA Independiente Siguatepeque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real España ganada 43%,Empate 25%,CA Independiente Siguatepeque ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de