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HND Honduras - Lega Nazionale · Final ·

Genesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score3–0Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa46%
Pareggio27%
Vittoria ospite26%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Genesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
46% / 27% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (26.5%)Doppia Chance1X73.5%1.36
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnano56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapGenesis de Comayagua winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Genesis de Comayagua win46%2.171.9047.2%-1.2 pp
Pareggio27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
CD Platense win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Genesis de Comayagua1.35

Casa share of expected goals 49.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

CD Platense1.38

Trasferta share of expected goals 50.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Genesis de Comayagua

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CD Platense

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
1.38
Genesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Genesis de Comayagua signalTrasferta failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Platense signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Genesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Genesis de Comayagua vinta 46%,Pareggio 27%,CD Platense vinta 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra