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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Final ·

Génesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score3–0Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa46%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante26%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Génesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima51% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 27% / 26%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (26.5%)Dupla Chance1X73.5%1.36
Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%Goals 2.5Acima51%1.96
Sim 56% · Não 44%Ambas as equipes marcamSim56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapGénesis de Comayagua winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Génesis de Comayagua win46%2.171.9047.2%-1.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
CD Platense win26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Génesis de Comayagua1.35

Mandante share of expected goals 49.5%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 51% · Abaixo 49%

CD Platense1.38

Visitante share of expected goals 50.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 56% · Não 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Génesis de Comayagua

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CD Platense

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalNão recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.35
Expected goals
1.38
Génesis de ComayaguaCD Platense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Génesis de Comayagua signalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Platense signalNão recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Génesis de Comayagua vs CD Platense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Génesis de Comayagua ganhou 46%,Empate 27%,CD Platense ganhou 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Acima 2.5 51% · Current selection Acima