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HND Гондурас - Национальная лига · Матч ·

КД Олимпия vs Мотагуа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей31%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1КД ОлимпияМотагуа
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 29% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Двойной шанс1271%1.41
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.64 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
КД Олимпия win40%2.50
Ничья29%3.45
Мотагуа win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КД Олимпия1.48

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Мотагуа1.16

Гости share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

КД Олимпия

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Мотагуа

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.48
Expected goals
1.16
КД ОлимпияМотагуа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КД Олимпия signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мотагуа signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

КД Олимпия vs Мотагуа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КД Олимпия выигрыш 40%,Ничья 29%,Мотагуа выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше