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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Match ·

CD Olimpia vs Motagua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.64 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger31%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD OlimpiaMotagua
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 29% / 31%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Dubbelchans1271%1.41
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
CD Olimpia win40%2.50
Oavgjort29%3.45
Motagua win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Olimpia1.48

Hemma share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Motagua1.16

Borta share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CD Olimpia

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Motagua

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
8
1.48
Expected goals
1.16
CD OlimpiaMotagua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Olimpia signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Motagua signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Olimpia vs Motagua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Olimpia vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 29%,Motagua vunnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under