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HND Гондурас - Национальная лига · Round 3 ·

Оланчо vs Хутикальпа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев60%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев60% selection probability
Projected score2–1ОланчоХутикальпа
Expected goals3.06Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
60% / 24% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Хутикальпа win (16.6%)Двойной шанс1X83.4%1.20
Больше 59% · Меньше 41%Goals 2.5Больше59%1.69
Да 49% · Нет 51%Обе забьютНет51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Оланчо win60%1.67
Ничья24%4.17
Хутикальпа win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Оланчо2.28

Хозяева share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 59% · Меньше 41%

Хутикальпа0.78

Гости share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Нет 51%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Оланчо

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хутикальпа

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
ОланчоХутикальпа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Оланчо signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хутикальпа signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Оланчо vs Хутикальпа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Оланчо выигрыш 60%,Ничья 24%,Хутикальпа выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · ТБ 2.5 59% · Current selection Больше