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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 3 ·

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr60%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr17%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Olancho FCJuticalpa
Expected goals3.06Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
60% / 24% / 17%KampresultatHjemmesejr60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juticalpa win (16.6%)Dobbeltchance1X83.4%1.20
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Olancho FC win60%1.67
Uafgjort24%4.17
Juticalpa win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Olancho FC2.28

Hjemme share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Juticalpa0.78

Ude share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Olancho FC

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Juticalpa

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vundet probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
Olancho FCJuticalpa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Olancho FC signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juticalpa signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Olancho FC vundet 60%,Uafgjort 24%,Juticalpa vundet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over