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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 3 ·

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.06 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde60%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți17%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Olancho FCJuticalpa
Expected goals3.06Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste59% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
60% / 24% / 17%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Juticalpa win (16.6%)Șansă dublă1X83.4%1.20
Peste 59% · Sub 41%Goals 2.5Peste59%1.69
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
3.06 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Olancho FC win60%1.67
Egal24%4.17
Juticalpa win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Olancho FC2.28

Gazde share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals3.06Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 59% · Sub 41%

Juticalpa0.78

Oaspeți share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Olancho FC

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Juticalpa

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Câștig probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.28
Expected goals
0.78
Olancho FCJuticalpa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Olancho FC signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juticalpa signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Olancho FC vs Juticalpa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Olancho FC câștig 60%,Egal 24%,Juticalpa câștig 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Peste 2.5 59% · Current selection Peste