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HND ホンジュラス ナショナルリーグ · Round 3 ·

CD Choloma vs CDマラソン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利21%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利54%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利54% selection probability
Projected score1–2CD CholomaCDマラソン
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー58% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
21% / 26% / 54%試合結果アウェイ勝利54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Choloma win (20.8%)ダブルチャンスX279.2%1.26
オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%Goals 2.5アンダー58%1.72
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
2.37 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
10.3 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCDマラソン winDifference+1.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Choloma win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
CDマラソン win54%1.851.7052.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Choloma0.70

ホーム share of expected goals 29.5%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 42% · アンダー 58%

CDマラソン1.67

アウェイ share of expected goals 70.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CD Choloma

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

CDマラソン

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn4Losses0ポイント7

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
勝ち probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
1.67
CD CholomaCDマラソン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Choloma signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CDマラソン signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Choloma vs CDマラソン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Choloma 勝ち 21%,引き分け 26%,CDマラソン 勝ち 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · オーバー 2.5 42% · Current selection アンダー