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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Round 3 ·

CD Choloma vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng21%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng54%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng54% selection probability
Projected score1–2CD CholomaCD Marathon
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu58% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
21% / 26% / 54%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Choloma win (20.8%)Cơ hội képX279.2%1.26
Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%Goals 2.5Xỉu58%1.72
Có 41% · Không 59%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông59%1.69
2.37 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Choloma win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Hòa26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
CD Marathon win54%1.851.7052.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Choloma0.70

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 29.5%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 42% · Xỉu 58%

CD Marathon1.67

Khách share of expected goals 70.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 41% · Không 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

CD Choloma

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Điểm7

SignalKhách unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Thắng probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
1.67
CD CholomaCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Choloma signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalKhách unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Choloma vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Choloma thắng 21%,Hòa 26%,CD Marathon thắng 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Tài 2.5 42% · Current selection Xỉu