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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 3 ·

CD Choloma vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich21%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí54%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí54% selection probability
Projected score1–2CD CholomaCD Marathon
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej58% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
21% / 26% / 54%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Choloma win (20.8%)Dvojitá šancaX279.2%1.26
Viac 42% · Menej 58%Goals 2.5Menej58%1.72
Áno 41% · Nie 59%Oba tímy skórujúNie59%1.69
2.37 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.3 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Choloma win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Remíza26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
CD Marathon win54%1.851.7052.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Choloma0.70

Domáci share of expected goals 29.5%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 42% · Menej 58%

CD Marathon1.67

Hostia share of expected goals 70.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 41% · Nie 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

CD Choloma

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Body7

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Výhra probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
1.67
CD CholomaCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Choloma signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Choloma vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Choloma výhra 21%,Remíza 26%,CD Marathon výhra 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Viac 2.5 42% · Current selection Menej