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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 3 ·

CD Choloma vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.37 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy21%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości54%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości54% selection probability
Projected score1–2CD CholomaCD Marathon
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
21% / 26% / 54%Wynik meczuWygrana gości54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Choloma win (20.8%)Podwójna szansaX279.2%1.26
Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%Goals 2.5Poniżej58%1.72
Tak 41% · Nie 59%Obie drużyny strzeląNie59%1.69
2.37 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Choloma win21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Remis26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
CD Marathon win54%1.851.7052.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Choloma0.70

Gospodarze share of expected goals 29.5%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%

CD Marathon1.67

Goście share of expected goals 70.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 41% · Nie 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

CD Choloma

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Punkty7

SignalGoście unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
21%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
54%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
1.67
CD CholomaCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Choloma signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalGoście unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Choloma vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Choloma wygrana 21%,Remis 26%,CD Marathon wygrana 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Powyżej 2.5 42% · Current selection Poniżej