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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy67%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości10%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy67% selection probability
Projected score1–1CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej69% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
67% / 22% / 10%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (10.2%)Podwójna szansa1X89.8%1.11
Powyżej 31% · Poniżej 69%Goals 2.5Poniżej69%1.45
Tak 33% · Nie 67%Obie drużyny strzeląNie67%1.49
1.97 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapCSKA Sofia winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CSKA Sofia win67%1.491.3868.3%-1.3 pp
Remis22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Botev Vratsa win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA Sofia1.40

Gospodarze share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 31% · Poniżej 69%

Botev Vratsa0.57

Goście share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofia

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
0.57
CSKA SofiaBotev Vratsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA Sofia signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Vratsa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA Sofia wygrana 67%,Remis 22%,Botev Vratsa wygrana 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Powyżej 2.5 31% · Current selection Poniżej