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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Lokomotiv Płowdiw vs Dunav Ruse

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy41%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości31%
Baseline forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lokomotiv PłowdiwDunav Ruse
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
41% / 28% / 31%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Podwójna szansa1272.2%1.39
Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%Goals 2.5Poniżej58%1.72
Tak 47% · Nie 53%Obie drużyny strzeląNie53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.9 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Lokomotiv Płowdiw win41%2.44
Remis28%3.57
Dunav Ruse win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Płowdiw1.28

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%

Dunav Ruse1.07

Goście share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 47% · Nie 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Płowdiw

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.28
Expected goals
1.07
Lokomotiv PłowdiwDunav Ruse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Płowdiw signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunav Ruse signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Płowdiw vs Dunav Ruse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Płowdiw wygrana 41%,Remis 28%,Dunav Ruse wygrana 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Powyżej 2.5 42% · Current selection Poniżej