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Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite31%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto58% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 28% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Doppia Chance1272.2%1.39
Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%Goals 2.5Sotto58%1.72
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win41%2.44
Pareggio28%3.57
Dunav Ruse win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.28

Casa share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 42% · Sotto 58%

Dunav Ruse1.07

Trasferta share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.28
Expected goals
1.07
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dunav Ruse signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vinta 41%,Pareggio 28%,Dunav Ruse vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Sopra 2.5 42% · Current selection Sotto