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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Матч ·

Локомотив Пловдив vs Дунав Русе

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей31%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Локомотив ПловдивДунав Русе
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше58% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 28% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Двойной шанс1272.2%1.39
Больше 42% · Меньше 58%Goals 2.5Меньше58%1.72
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Локомотив Пловдив win41%2.44
Ничья28%3.57
Дунав Русе win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Локомотив Пловдив1.28

Хозяева share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 42% · Меньше 58%

Дунав Русе1.07

Гости share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Локомотив Пловдив

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Дунав Русе

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.28
Expected goals
1.07
Локомотив ПловдивДунав Русе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Локомотив Пловдив signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Дунав Русе signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Локомотив Пловдив vs Дунав Русе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Локомотив Пловдив выигрыш 41%,Ничья 28%,Дунав Русе выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · ТБ 2.5 42% · Current selection Меньше