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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Final ·

Лудогорец Разград vs Ботев Пловдив

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев59%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей17%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Лудогорец РазградБотев Пловдив
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
59% / 24% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботев Пловдив win (16.8%)Двойной шанс1X83.2%1.20
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Меньше50%2.00
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
2.66 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapЛудогорец Разград winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лудогорец Разград win59%1.691.6058.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья24%4.173.9024.1%-0.1 pp
Ботев Пловдив win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лудогорец Разград1.91

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

Ботев Пловдив0.75

Гости share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Лудогорец Разград

3.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Баллы15

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ботев Пловдив

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.91
Expected goals
0.75
Лудогорец РазградБотев Пловдив
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лудогорец Разград signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботев Пловдив signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Лудогорец Разград vs Ботев Пловдив FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лудогорец Разград выигрыш 59%,Ничья 24%,Ботев Пловдив выигрыш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Меньше