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BGR Bulgarien - 1. liga · Final ·

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–0Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr59%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr17%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
59% / 24% / 17%KampresultatHjemmesejr59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Plovdiv win (16.8%)Dobbeltchance1X83.2%1.20
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.66 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapLudogorets Razgrad winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ludogorets Razgrad win59%1.691.6058.8%+0.2 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.9024.1%-0.1 pp
Botev Plovdiv win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ludogorets Razgrad1.91

Hjemme share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Botev Plovdiv0.75

Ude share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Ludogorets Razgrad

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vundet probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.91
Expected goals
0.75
Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ludogorets Razgrad signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Plovdiv signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ludogorets Razgrad vundet 59%,Uafgjort 24%,Botev Plovdiv vundet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under