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BGR Bulgarien - 1. Liga · Final ·

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg59%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
59% / 24% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Plovdiv win (16.8%)Doppelte Chance1X83.2%1.20
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Unter50%2.00
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.66 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapLudogorets Razgrad winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ludogorets Razgrad win59%1.691.6058.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.9024.1%-0.1 pp
Botev Plovdiv win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ludogorets Razgrad1.91

Heim share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Botev Plovdiv0.75

Auswärts share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ludogorets Razgrad

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.91
Expected goals
0.75
Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ludogorets Razgrad signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Plovdiv signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ludogorets Razgrad Gewinn 59%,Unentschieden 24%,Botev Plovdiv Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Unter