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Sheff Utd vs Birmingham

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sheff UtdBirmingham
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 29% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Doppelte Chance1271.3%1.40
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sheff Utd win39%2.56
Unentschieden29%3.45
Birmingham win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sheff Utd1.45

Heim share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Birmingham1.24

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sheff Utd

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Birmingham

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
11
1.45
Expected goals
1.24
Sheff UtdBirmingham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sheff Utd signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Birmingham signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sheff Utd vs Birmingham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sheff Utd Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 29%,Birmingham Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über