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BGR Bulgaria - Primera Liga · Final ·

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local59%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante17%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de50% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
59% / 24% / 17%Resultado del partidoVictoria local59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Plovdiv win (16.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X83.2%1.20
Más de 50% · Menos de 50%Goals 2.5Menos de50%2.00
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.66 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapLudogorets Razgrad winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ludogorets Razgrad win59%1.691.6058.8%+0.2 pp
Empate24%4.173.9024.1%-0.1 pp
Botev Plovdiv win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ludogorets Razgrad1.91

Local share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 50% · Menos de 50%

Botev Plovdiv0.75

Visitante share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Ludogorets Razgrad

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Ganado probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.91
Expected goals
0.75
Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ludogorets Razgrad signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Plovdiv signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ludogorets Razgrad ganada 59%,Empate 24%,Botev Plovdiv ganada 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Más de 2.5 50% · Current selection Menos de