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BGR Bulgarie - Parva liga · Final ·

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur17%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 24% / 17%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Plovdiv win (16.8%)Double chance1X83.2%1.20
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Moins de50%2.00
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
2.66 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapLudogorets Razgrad winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ludogorets Razgrad win59%1.691.6058.8%+0.2 pp
Nul24%4.173.9024.1%-0.1 pp
Botev Plovdiv win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ludogorets Razgrad1.91

Domicile share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Botev Plovdiv0.75

Extérieur share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ludogorets Razgrad

3.00pts / match
Joués5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Botev Plovdiv

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.91
Expected goals
0.75
Ludogorets RazgradBotev Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ludogorets Razgrad signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Plovdiv signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ludogorets Razgrad victoire 59%,Nul 24%,Botev Plovdiv victoire 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Moins de