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BGR България - Първа Лига · Final ·

Лудогорец vs Ботев Пловдив

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина59%
Равен24%
Победа за госта17%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина59% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛудогорецБотев Пловдив
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под50% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
59% / 24% / 17%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ботев Пловдив win (16.8%)Двоен шанс1X83.2%1.20
Над 50% · Под 50%Goals 2.5Под50%2.00
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.66 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.2 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapЛудогорец winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лудогорец win59%1.691.6058.8%+0.2 pp
Равен24%4.173.9024.1%-0.1 pp
Ботев Пловдив win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лудогорец1.91

Домакин share of expected goals 71.8%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 50% · Под 50%

Ботев Пловдив0.75

Гост share of expected goals 28.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лудогорец

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ботев Пловдив

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
17%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.91
Expected goals
0.75
ЛудогорецБотев Пловдив
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лудогорец signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ботев Пловдив signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Лудогорец vs Ботев Пловдив FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лудогорец печеливш 59%,Равен 24%,Ботев Пловдив печеливш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Над 2.5 50% · Current selection Под