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BGR Βουλγαρία - Πρώτη Λίγκα · Αγώνας ·

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ vs Ντουνάβ Ρούσε

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου41%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Baseline forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Λοκομοτίβ ΠλόβντιβΝτουνάβ Ρούσε
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω58% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
41% / 28% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1272.2%1.39
Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%Goals 2.5Κάτω58%1.72
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ win41%2.44
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Ντουνάβ Ρούσε win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ1.28

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%

Ντουνάβ Ρούσε1.07

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ντουνάβ Ρούσε

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.28
Expected goals
1.07
Λοκομοτίβ ΠλόβντιβΝτουνάβ Ρούσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ντουνάβ Ρούσε signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ vs Ντουνάβ Ρούσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Λοκομοτίβ Πλόβντιβ νίκη 41%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Ντουνάβ Ρούσε νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Άνω 2.5 42% · Current selection Κάτω