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BGR Bulharsko - 1. liga · Zápas ·

CSKA Sofie vs Botev Vratsa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích67%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostů10%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích67% selection probability
Projected score1–1CSKA SofieBotev Vratsa
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně69% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
67% / 22% / 10%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Botev Vratsa win (10.2%)Dvojitá šance1X89.8%1.11
Více 31% · Méně 69%Goals 2.5Méně69%1.45
Ano 33% · Ne 67%Oba týmy skórujíNe67%1.49
1.97 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.2 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapCSKA Sofie winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CSKA Sofie win67%1.491.3868.3%-1.3 pp
Remíza22%4.554.3321.8%+0.2 pp
Botev Vratsa win10%10.009.509.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSKA Sofie1.40

Domácí share of expected goals 71.1%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 31% · Méně 69%

Botev Vratsa0.57

Hosté share of expected goals 28.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 33% · Ne 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

CSKA Sofie

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Botev Vratsa

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Výhra probability excluding draw
10%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
0.57
CSKA SofieBotev Vratsa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSKA Sofie signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Botev Vratsa signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

CSKA Sofie vs Botev Vratsa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSKA Sofie výhra 67%,Remíza 22%,Botev Vratsa výhra 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Více 2.5 31% · Current selection Méně