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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Leganes vs Merida

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score3–0Prognose 2–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier51%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier23%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Vunnet
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier51% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeganesMerida
Expected goals3.27Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
51% / 26% / 23%KampresultatHjemmeseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Merida win (23.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X76.8%1.30
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nei 35%Begge lag scorerJa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
7.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win51%1.961.7551.2%
Uavgjort26%3.853.4026.4%
Merida win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.92

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Merida1.35

Borte share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nei 35%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Leganes

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Merida

1.25pts / match
Spilt4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Poeng5

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
LeganesMerida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Merida signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Merida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes vunnet 51%,Uavgjort 26%,Merida vunnet 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over