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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Leganes vs Merida

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score3–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile51%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur23%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile51% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeganesMerida
Expected goals3.27Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
51% / 26% / 23%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Merida win (23.2%)Double chance1X76.8%1.30
Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%Goals 2.5Plus de63%1.59
Oui 65% · Non 35%Les deux équipes marquentOui65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win51%1.961.7551.2%
Nul26%3.853.4026.4%
Merida win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.92

Domicile share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%

Merida1.35

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 65% · Non 35%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Leganes

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Merida

1.25pts / match
Joués4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gagné probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
LeganesMerida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Merida signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Merida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes victoire 51%,Nul 26%,Merida victoire 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Plus de 2.5 63% · Current selection Plus de