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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Leganés vs Mérida

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local51%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante23%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local51% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeganésMérida
Expected goals3.27Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
51% / 26% / 23%Resultado del partidoVictoria local51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mérida win (23.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X76.8%1.30
Más de 63% · Menos de 37%Goals 2.5Más de63%1.59
Sí 65% · No 35%Ambos equipos marcan65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
7.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganés win51%1.961.7551.2%
Empate26%3.853.4026.4%
Mérida win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganés1.92

Local share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 63% · Menos de 37%

Mérida1.35

Visitante share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · No 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Leganés

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mérida

1.25pts / match
Jugados4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Puntos5

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganado probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
LeganésMérida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganés signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mérida signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Leganés vs Mérida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganés ganada 51%,Empate 26%,Mérida ganada 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Más de 2.5 63% · Current selection Más de