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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Леганес vs Мерида

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score3–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей23%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛеганесМерида
Expected goals3.27Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 26% / 23%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мерида win (23.2%)Двойной шанс1X76.8%1.30
Больше 63% · Меньше 37%Goals 2.5Больше63%1.59
Да 65% · Нет 35%Обе забьютДа65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
7.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Леганес win51%1.961.7551.2%
Ничья26%3.853.4026.4%
Мерида win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Леганес1.92

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 63% · Меньше 37%

Мерида1.35

Гости share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 65% · Нет 35%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Леганес

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Мерида

1.25pts / match
Сыграно4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Баллы5

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
ЛеганесМерида
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Леганес signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мерида signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Леганес vs Мерида FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Леганес выигрыш 51%,Ничья 26%,Мерида выигрыш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · ТБ 2.5 63% · Current selection Больше