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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Leganes vs Merida

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score3–0Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde51%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți23%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde51% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeganesMerida
Expected goals3.27Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste63% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
51% / 26% / 23%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Merida win (23.2%)Șansă dublă1X76.8%1.30
Peste 63% · Sub 37%Goals 2.5Peste63%1.59
Da 65% · Nu 35%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win51%1.961.7551.2%
Egal26%3.853.4026.4%
Merida win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.92

Gazde share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 63% · Sub 37%

Merida1.35

Oaspeți share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 65% · Nu 35%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Leganes

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Merida

1.25pts / match
Jucate4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Puncte5

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Câștig probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
LeganesMerida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Merida signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Merida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes câștig 51%,Egal 26%,Merida câștig 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Peste 2.5 63% · Current selection Peste