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EUR 欧州親善試合 · Final ·

レガネス vs メリダ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score3–0予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利23%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score2–1レガネスメリダ
Expected goals3.27始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー63% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 26% / 23%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes メリダ win (23.2%)ダブルチャンス1X76.8%1.30
オーバー 63% · アンダー 37%Goals 2.5オーバー63%1.59
はい 65% · いいえ 35%両チーム得点はい65%1.54
3.27 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
7.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
レガネス win51%1.961.7551.2%
引き分け26%3.853.4026.4%
メリダ win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レガネス1.92

ホーム share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 63% · アンダー 37%

メリダ1.35

アウェイ share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 65% · いいえ 35%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レガネス

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

メリダ

1.25pts / match
試合数4Wins1Drawn2Losses1ポイント5

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
レガネスメリダ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レガネス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02メリダ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

レガネス vs メリダ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レガネス 勝ち 51%,引き分け 26%,メリダ 勝ち 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · オーバー 2.5 63% · Current selection オーバー