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EUR 欧洲友谊赛 · Final ·

萊加內斯 vs 梅裏達

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score3–0預測 2–1
客隊 form
主勝51%
26%
客勝23%
Market-based forecast主勝Tier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction 命中
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–1萊加內斯梅裏達
Expected goals3.27初盤 match profile
Goals 2.563% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
51% / 26% / 23%比賽結果主勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 梅裏達 win (23.2%)雙重機會1X76.8%1.30
大 63% · 小 37%Goals 2.563%1.59
是 65% · 否 35%雙方進球65%1.54
3.27 total expected goals正確比分2–1
7.9 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claim
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
萊加內斯 win51%1.961.7551.2%
26%3.853.4026.4%
梅裏達 win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

萊加內斯1.92

主隊 share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27初盤

Dedicated goals model: 63% · 37%

梅裏達1.35

客隊 share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 65% · 35%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

萊加內斯

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

梅裏達

1.25pts / match
4Wins1Drawn2Losses1積分5

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
贏 probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
萊加內斯梅裏達
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01萊加內斯 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02梅裏達 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

萊加內斯 vs 梅裏達 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

萊加內斯 51%, 26%,梅裏達 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · 大2.5 63% · Current selection