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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Leganes vs Mérida

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score3–0Previsão 2–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa51%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante23%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 51% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa51% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeganesMérida
Expected goals3.27Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
51% / 26% / 23%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mérida win (23.2%)Dupla Chance1X76.8%1.30
Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%Goals 2.5Acima63%1.59
Sim 65% · Não 35%Ambas as equipes marcamSim65%1.54
3.27 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
7.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win51%1.961.7551.2%
Empate26%3.853.4026.4%
Mérida win23%4.354.0022.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.92

Mandante share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals3.27Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 63% · Abaixo 37%

Mérida1.35

Visitante share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 65% · Não 35%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Leganes

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mérida

1.25pts / match
Jogos4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Pontos5

SignalMandante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.92
Expected goals
1.35
LeganesMérida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mérida signalMandante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Mérida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes ganhou 51%,Empate 26%,Mérida ganhou 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Acima 2.5 63% · Current selection Acima