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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Gérone vs Sabadell

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score2–1GéroneSabadell
Expected goals3.29Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 24% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sabadell win (17.5%)Double chance1X82.5%1.21
Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%Goals 2.5Plus de64%1.56
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
3.29 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gérone win59%1.691.5059.8%
Nul24%4.173.7523.9%
Sabadell win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gérone2.05

Domicile share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals3.29Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%

Sabadell1.24

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Gérone

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sabadell

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.05
Expected goals
1.24
GéroneSabadell
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gérone signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sabadell signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Gérone vs Sabadell FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gérone victoire 59%,Nul 24%,Sabadell victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Plus de 2.5 64% · Current selection Plus de