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EUR Europe Friendlies · Kamp ·

AD Ceuta vs Malaga

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.25 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier33%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier42%
Market-based forecastBorteseierTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMalaga
Expected goals3.25Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
33% / 26% / 42%KampresultatBorteseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dobbel sjanse1274.5%1.34
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nei 35%Begge lag scorerJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
8.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win33%3.032.8831.3%
Uavgjort26%3.853.5025.8%
Malaga win42%2.382.1042.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.25Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Malaga1.67

Borte share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nei 35%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Spilt3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Poeng3

SignalBorte unbeaten 2/2

Borte-context · form sequence

Malaga

2.00pts / match
Spilt2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Poeng4

SignalNei recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.67
AD CeutaMalaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalBorte unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Malaga signalNei recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Malaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta vunnet 33%,Uavgjort 26%,Malaga vunnet 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over