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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

AD Ceuta vs Málaga

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.25 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg33%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg42%
Market-based forecastAuswärtssiegTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg42% selection probability
Projected score2–2AD CeutaMálaga
Expected goals3.25Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
33% / 26% / 42%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doppelte Chance1274.5%1.34
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Ceuta win33%3.032.8831.3%
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.8%
Málaga win42%2.382.1042.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Ceuta1.58

Heim share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals3.25Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Málaga1.67

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.00pts / match
Gespielt3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Punkte3

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 2/2

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Málaga

2.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punkte4

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.67
AD CeutaMálaga
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Ceuta signalAuswärts unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Málaga signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AD Ceuta vs Málaga FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Ceuta Gewinn 33%,Unentschieden 26%,Málaga Gewinn 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über