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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

Leganes vs Merida

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg20%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeganesMerida
Expected goals3.28Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 25% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Merida win (20%)Doppelte Chance1X80%1.25
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nein 35%Beide Teams treffenJa65%1.54
3.28 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
7.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win55%1.821.6255.4%
Unentschieden25%4.003.5025.7%
Merida win20%5.004.7518.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.99

Heim share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.28Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Merida1.29

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nein 35%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Leganes

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Merida

1.25pts / match
Gespielt4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Punkte5

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
5
Points from supplied form
5
1.99
Expected goals
1.29
LeganesMerida
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Merida signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Merida FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 25%,Merida Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über